Al Ahly vs El Geish: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)WE Al-Ahly Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for El Geish. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahly vs El Geish?
Al Ahly is a heavy favourite: 2,081 Elo points against 1,776, a 305-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ahly vs El Geish
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ahly
4-2-3-1- 10M. Bakrar
- 25Zizo
- 17A. Bencharki
- 13Marwan Attia
- 15Omar El Saeey
- 12Akram Tawfik
- 2Yassin Marei
- 24Tawfik Mohamed
- 30Mohamed Hany
- 5Hady Reyad
- 31Mostafa Shobeir
El Geish
4-1-4-1- 28I. Ouro-Agoro
- 30Mohamed Atef
- 12Islam Mohareb
- 11Karim Tarek
- 25Ahmed Tarek
- 22Mostafa Khawaga
- 4Mohamed Fathallah
- 8Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
- 21Khaled Abo Ziada
- 6Khaled Stouhi
- 1Omar Radwan
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahly have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; El Geish have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 4-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kitara(away) | 2-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Ittihad(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Ahly wins, 0 draws, 3 El Geish wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | El Geish 2-1 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Al Ahly 1-2 El Geish | League Cup |
| Mar 24, 2025 | El Geish 3-1 Al Ahly | League Cup |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Al Ahly 2-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| Jul 8, 2024 | Al Ahly 2-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| Jul 1, 2024 | El Geish 0-4 Al Ahly | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahly score 2.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; El Geish score 0.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahly | 2.2 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| El Geish | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahly sit 2nd in Premier League (20 points from 8 matches) and El Geish sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 14 | El Geish | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Al Ahly vs El Geish?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahly vs El Geish?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for El Geish.
- Where and when is Al Ahly vs El Geish played?
- Al Ahly vs El Geish is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at WE Al-Ahly Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.