Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 11, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)El Mahalla Stadium, El-Mahalla El-Kubra
The Footlab model makes Ceramica Cleopatra the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
Ceramica Cleopatra starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghazl El Mehalla have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Ceramica Cleopatra have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Smouha SC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ceramica Cleopatra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra | League Cup |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ceramica Cleopatra 3-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | League Cup |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 Ceramica Cleopatra | Premier League |
| May 14, 2023 | Ceramica Cleopatra 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-3 Ceramica Cleopatra | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mehalla on Feb 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ceramica Cleopatra score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Ceramica Cleopatra | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Ceramica Cleopatra sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
- The Footlab model makes Ceramica Cleopatra the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra played?
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra is played on February 11, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at El Mahalla Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.