Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)WE Al-Ahly Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Olympic El Qanah. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah?
Al Ahly starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahly have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Olympic El Qanah have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Dayrout(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Proxy(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Aswan Sc(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahly score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Olympic El Qanah score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahly | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Olympic El Qanah | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahly sit 2nd in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Olympic El Qanah sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Olympic El Qanah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Olympic El Qanah.
- Where and when is Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah played?
- Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah is played on October 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at WE Al-Ahly Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.