Al Arabi vs Gulf United: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Al Arabi Stadium, Umm al-Quwain
The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Gulf United. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Arabi vs Gulf United?
Al Arabi starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,568 vs 1,356).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Arabi have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Gulf United have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Palm City(away) | 5-2 | Division 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Masfut(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | Gulf United(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Dubai United(away) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Emirates Club(home) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Ittifaq(away) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Al Urooba(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Masfut(home) | 4-2 | Division 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Dubai United(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al Arabi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gulf United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Al Arabi 2-1 Gulf United | Division 1 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Gulf United 2-3 Al Arabi | Division 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Gulf United 1-1 Al Arabi | Division 1 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Al Arabi 3-1 Gulf United | Division 1 |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Gulf United 3-1 Al Arabi | Division 1 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Al Arabi 3-0 Gulf United | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Arabi vs Gulf United on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Arabi score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gulf United score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Arabi | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Gulf United | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Arabi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Arabi vs Gulf United?
- The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Gulf United.
- Where and when is Al Arabi vs Gulf United played?
- Al Arabi vs Gulf United is played on October 9, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Al Arabi Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.