Ittifaq vs Al Thaid: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Al Thaid the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ittifaq. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ittifaq vs Al Thaid?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Ittifaq (1,413) and Al Thaid (1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ittifaq have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Al Thaid have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Bataeh(away) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Gulf United(home) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Dubai United(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | Emirates Club(home) | 2-4 | Division 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Dibba Al Hisn(away) | 2-2 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Urooba(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Emirates Club(home) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Dibba Al Hisn(away) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | Hatta SC(home) | 0-4 | Division 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Al Fujairah SC(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ittifaq win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Al Thaid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Al Thaid 1-0 Ittifaq | Division 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Ittifaq 0-1 Al Thaid | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ittifaq score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Al Thaid score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ittifaq | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Thaid | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ittifaq sit 11th in Division 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Thaid sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Thaid | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Ittifaq | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ittifaq vs Al Thaid?
- The Footlab model makes Al Thaid the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ittifaq.
- Where and when is Ittifaq vs Al Thaid played?
- Ittifaq vs Al Thaid is played on October 9, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC), in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.