Al Bukayriyah vs Damac: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 03:50 PM (UTC)Al-Bukiryah Club Stadium, Al Bukayriyah
The Footlab model makes Damac the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al Bukayriyah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Bukayriyah vs Damac?
Damac starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,717 vs 1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Bukayriyah have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Damac have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 2-3 | King's Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 2-3 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Al Baten(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Saqer(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-4 | Pro League |
| May 15, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| May 10, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Bukayriyah score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Damac score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Bukayriyah | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Damac | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Bukayriyah sit 10th in Division 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Damac sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al Bukayriyah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Damac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Bukayriyah vs Damac?
- The Footlab model makes Damac the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al Bukayriyah.
- Where and when is Al Bukayriyah vs Damac played?
- Al Bukayriyah vs Damac is played on September 14, 2026 at 03:50 PM (UTC) at Al-Bukiryah Club Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.