Al Faisaly vs Al Ahli: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Amman International Stadium, Amman
The Footlab AI model makes Al Faisaly the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Al Ahli. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Faisaly vs Al Ahli?
Al Faisaly starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,487).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Faisaly vs Al Ahli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Faisaly
4-2-3-1- 20Reziq Bani Hani
- 6S. Simporé
- 8Noor Al Rawabdeh
- 17Ghaith Al Madadha
- 7Ahmad Ersan
- 10Majdi Attar
- 21A. Badawi
- 5H. Abu Al Dahab
- 12M. Haddad
- 23Ehsan Haddad
- 99Abdallah Al Fakhouri
Al Ahli
4-3-3- 20E. Tall
- 19Yazan Dahshan
- 17Rakan Al Khaldi
- 7Obieda Al Samrieh
- 10M. Macauley
- 13Mahmoud Al Mardi
- 29Teah Baysah Dennis
- 5Mohammad Sallo
- 18Saleem Obaid
- 2Ahmad Al Sughair
- 23Mohammad Khater
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Faisaly have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Al Ahli have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Shabab Al Ordon(home) | 0-0 | League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Al Taawon(away) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Hussein(home) | 0-1 | League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al Jazeera(away) | 2-2 | League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sama(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| May 8, 2026 | Al Wihdat(away) | 0-2 | League |
| May 4, 2026 | Al Buqa'a(home) | 2-1 | League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Al Faisaly(home) | 2-2 | League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Sama Al Sarhan(away) | 3-2 | League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al Faisaly wins, 1 draw, 0 Al Ahli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Al Ahli 2-2 Al Faisaly | League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Al Ahli 0-3 Al Faisaly | League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Al Faisaly 2-1 Al Ahli | Shield Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Al Faisaly 3-2 Al Ahli | League |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Al Ahli 1-2 Al Faisaly | League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Al Ahli 1-2 Al Faisaly | Shield Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Faisaly score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahli score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Faisaly | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Ahli | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Al Faisaly vs Al Ahli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Faisaly vs Al Ahli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Faisaly the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Al Ahli.
- Where and when is Al Faisaly vs Al Ahli played?
- Al Faisaly vs Al Ahli is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Amman International Stadium, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.