Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, Al-Hasa
The Footlab model makes Al-Fateh the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Al-Ettifaq. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Al-Fateh (1,762) and Al-Ettifaq (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Fateh have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Al-Ettifaq have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Najma(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Jabalain(away) | 0-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | York(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al-Fateh win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Al-Ettifaq win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq 4-3 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Al-Fateh 2-1 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Al-Ettifaq 1-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Al-Fateh 1-2 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Al-Fateh 1-0 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Al-Ettifaq 1-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh on Feb 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Fateh score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ettifaq score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Ettifaq | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Fateh sit 15th in Pro League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al-Ettifaq sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Al-Fateh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Fateh the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Al-Ettifaq.
- Where and when is Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq played?
- Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq is played on August 22, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.