Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Abha. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
Al-Ahli Jeddah is a heavy favourite: 2,100 Elo points against 1,790 — a 310-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Abha have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Sharjah FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 1-5 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Abha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 5-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Abha 0-6 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-2 Abha | King's Cup |
| May 22, 2022 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Abha 2-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| May 25, 2021 | Abha 1-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha on May 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Abha score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Abha | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 7th in Pro League (3 points from 1 matches) and Abha sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Abha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Abha.
- Where and when is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha played?
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha is played on August 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.