Al Hilal Omdurman vs Etincelles: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Al-Hilal Stadium, Omdurman (Umm Durman)
The Footlab model makes Al Hilal Omdurman the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Etincelles. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Hilal Omdurman vs Etincelles?
Al Hilal Omdurman starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Hilal Omdurman have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Etincelles have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | KVZ(away) | 4-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marines(away) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 7, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 1-4 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Al Hilal Omdurman win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Etincelles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Etincelles 2-1 Al Hilal Omdurman | National Soccer League |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman 2-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Etincelles vs Al Hilal Omdurman on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Hilal Omdurman score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hilal Omdurman | 1.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Etincelles | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Hilal Omdurman sit 1st in National Soccer League (75 points from 34 matches) and Etincelles sit 13th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 25 | 75 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Hilal Omdurman vs Etincelles?
- The Footlab model makes Al Hilal Omdurman the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Etincelles.
- Where and when is Al Hilal Omdurman vs Etincelles played?
- Al Hilal Omdurman vs Etincelles is played on October 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Hilal Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.