Al Hilal Port Sudan vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Port Sudan Stadium, Port Sudan
The Footlab model makes Al Hilal Port Sudan the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Hilal Port Sudan vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Al Hilal Port Sudan starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,595 vs 1,485).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Hilal Port Sudan have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Welwalo Adigrat Uni have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(home) | 2-2 | Sudani Premier League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Al-Merreikh II(home) | 0-1 | Sudani Premier League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Umm Mughad(home) | 2-0 | Sudani Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al-Hilal Omdurman II(away) | 1-3 | Sudani Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Hay Al Wadi(away) | 2-0 | Sudani Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Arba Minch Kenema(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 30, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Hilal Port Sudan score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hilal Port Sudan | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Hilal Port Sudan vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
- The Footlab model makes Al Hilal Port Sudan the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
- Where and when is Al Hilal Port Sudan vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni played?
- Al Hilal Port Sudan vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Port Sudan Stadium, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.