ASPL 2000 vs Galaxy: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. François Xavier Stadium, Port Louis
The Footlab model makes ASPL 2000 the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Galaxy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASPL 2000 vs Galaxy?
Galaxy starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,608 vs 1,467).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASPL 2000 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Galaxy have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | Pamplemousses(home) | 1-3 | Mauritian League |
| May 24, 2025 | Petite Rivière Noire(away) | 0-2 | Mauritian League |
| May 12, 2025 | ASVP(home) | 0-1 | Mauritian League |
| May 7, 2025 | Grande Riviere Sud Est(home) | 3-3 | Mauritian League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Chebel Citizens(away) | 2-0 | Mauritian League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Township Rollers(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Morupule Wanderers(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Matebele(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sua Flamingoes(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Calendar(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
ASPL 2000 score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Galaxy score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASPL 2000 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Galaxy | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASPL 2000 vs Galaxy?
- The Footlab model makes ASPL 2000 the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Galaxy.
- Where and when is ASPL 2000 vs Galaxy played?
- ASPL 2000 vs Galaxy is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. François Xavier Stadium, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.