Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular seasonKick-off on January 7, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)11 June Stadium, Tripoli
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahli Tripoli the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Al-Ittihad. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
Al Ahli Tripoli starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,913).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Ittihad
Not enough data to predict the Al-Ittihad lineup.
Al Ahli Tripoli
Not enough data to predict the Al Ahli Tripoli lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ittihad have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Al Ahli Tripoli have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Malaab El Libby(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Shomooa SC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Olympic Azzaweya(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Alittihad Misurata(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Asswehly(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al Shomooa SC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al-Khmes(home) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Bashaer Club(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 4-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(away) | 4-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al-Ittihad wins, 3 draws, 3 Al Ahli Tripoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Al-Ittihad 0-0 Al Ahli Tripoli | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Al Ahli Tripoli 4-1 Al-Ittihad | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Al-Ittihad 0-0 Al Ahli Tripoli | Premier League |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Al Ahli Tripoli 3-1 Al-Ittihad | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Al-Ittihad 0-0 Al Ahli Tripoli | Premier League |
| Jul 13, 2023 | Al Ahli Tripoli 2-0 Al-Ittihad | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli on May 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ittihad score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahli Tripoli score 2.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ittihad | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Ahli Tripoli | 2.9 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ittihad sit 1st in Premier League (22 points from 8 matches) and Al Ahli Tripoli sit 1st (23 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-IttihadGroup 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 22 |
| 1 | Al Ahli TripoliGroup 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 23 |
A question about Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahli Tripoli the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Al-Ittihad.
- Where and when is Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli played?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli is played on January 7, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 11 June Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 13, 2026Al Sadaqa0-0Al Ta'awon
- Oct 13, 2026Shabab Al-GharvsAlittihad Misurata
- Oct 13, 2026Olympic Azzaweya3-2Assabah SC
- Oct 13, 2026Al Hilal0-0Darnes
- Oct 13, 2026Al-Madina2-0Al Watan
- Oct 14, 2026Khaleej Sart0-0Al-Akhdar
- Oct 14, 2026Al Afriqi Derna SC1-0Al-Sharara
- Oct 14, 2026Al Malaab El Libby1-0Al-Magd