Al Ittihad vs El Mokawloon: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for El Mokawloon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs El Mokawloon?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Al Ittihad (1,762) and El Mokawloon (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ittihad have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; El Mokawloon have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ismaily SC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Ittihad win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 El Mokawloon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | El Mokawloon 0-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Al Ittihad 2-1 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| May 11, 2024 | El Mokawloon 0-1 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Al Ittihad 3-2 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Al Ittihad 0-0 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2023 | El Mokawloon 0-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: El Mokawloon vs Al Ittihad on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ittihad score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; El Mokawloon score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| El Mokawloon | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ittihad sit 11th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and El Mokawloon sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | El Mokawloon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ittihad vs El Mokawloon?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for El Mokawloon.
- Where and when is Al Ittihad vs El Mokawloon played?
- Al Ittihad vs El Mokawloon is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Alexandria Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.