Al Jabalain vs Al-Adalah: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC)Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, Ha'il (Hail)
The Footlab model makes Al Jabalain the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Al-Adalah. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Jabalain vs Al-Adalah?
Al Jabalain starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,730 vs 1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Jabalain have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Adalah have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 1-0 | King's Cup |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-3 | Division 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-2 | King's Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Jubail(home) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Abha(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Jabalain win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Al-Adalah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Jabalain 1-2 Al-Adalah | Division 1 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Al-Adalah 2-1 Al Jabalain | Division 1 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Al Jabalain 1-2 Al-Adalah | Division 1 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Al-Adalah 1-1 Al Jabalain | Division 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Al Jabalain 1-2 Al-Adalah | Division 1 |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Al-Adalah 2-1 Al Jabalain | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Jabalain vs Al-Adalah on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Jabalain score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Adalah score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jabalain | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Adalah | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Jabalain sit 15th in Division 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Al-Adalah sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al-Adalah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Al Jabalain | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Jabalain vs Al-Adalah?
- The Footlab model makes Al Jabalain the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Al-Adalah.
- Where and when is Al Jabalain vs Al-Adalah played?
- Al Jabalain vs Al-Adalah is played on December 18, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.