Al Najma vs Al Saqer: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 17, 2026 at 02:55 PM (UTC)Al-Najma Club Stadium, Unaizah
The Footlab AI model makes Al Najma the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al Saqer. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Najma wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,160 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al Saqer?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Al Najma (1,701) and Al Saqer (1,749).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Najma vs Al Saqer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Najma
3-5-2- 9Marcos André
- 92S. Cisse
- 7João Novais
- 5Afonso Taira
- 17Ahmad Al Badah
- 16Muhammad Sahlouli
- 88Nabil Emad Dunga
- 3Diogo Queirós
- 70Khalid Bin Shuwayii
- 13Khalid Al Khathlan
- 22B. Al Khamali
Al Saqer
4-3-3- 11J. Assehnoun
- 8Manawa Emmanuel Kpatai
- 20Nawaf Al Rashwodi
- 18João Erick
- 28Turki Al Shaifan
- 79Malik Hamza
- 33Milani
- 17S. Al Saeed
- 66H. Al Mousa
- 23D. Al Tarif
- 99R. Gabriel Silva
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 04:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Najma have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Al Saqer have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al Ula(home) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Jeel(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Zulfi(home) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Hajer(away) | 4-2 | Division 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Damac(home) | 3-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al Bukayriyah(home) | 4-1 | Division 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Al Taee(home) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Jabalain(home) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Najma score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Saqer score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najma | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Saqer | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Najma sit 3rd in Division 1 (19 points from 11 matches) and Al Saqer sit 8th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Najma | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Saqer | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Al Najma vs Al Saqer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Najma vs Al Saqer?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Najma the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al Saqer.
- Where and when is Al Najma vs Al Saqer played?
- Al Najma vs Al Saqer is played on December 17, 2026 at 02:55 PM (UTC) at Al-Najma Club Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.