Al Jabalain vs Al-Raed: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC)Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, Ha'il (Hail)
The Footlab model makes Al Jabalain the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Al-Raed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Jabalain vs Al-Raed?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Al Jabalain (1,733) and Al-Raed (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Jabalain have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Raed have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 1-0 | King's Cup |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-3 | Division 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-2 | King's Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 5-1 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-2 | Division 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Al Jabalain win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Al-Raed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Al-Raed 3-1 Al Jabalain | Division 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Al Jabalain 2-1 Al-Raed | Division 1 |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Al-Raed 1-1 Al Jabalain | King's Cup |
| Jan 21, 2017 | Al-Raed 3-0 Al Jabalain | King's Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Raed vs Al Jabalain on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Jabalain score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Raed score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jabalain | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Raed | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Jabalain sit 15th in Division 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Al-Raed sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Raed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Al Jabalain | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Jabalain vs Al-Raed?
- The Footlab model makes Al Jabalain the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Al-Raed.
- Where and when is Al Jabalain vs Al-Raed played?
- Al Jabalain vs Al-Raed is played on October 28, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.