Al Ula vs Al Orubah: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina
The Footlab model makes Al Ula the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Al Orubah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ula vs Al Orubah?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Al Ula (1,828) and Al Orubah (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ula have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Al Orubah have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Jabalain(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Como Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-3 | Como Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 0-3 | Como Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Raed(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Jeddah Club(away) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Al Ula win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Al Orubah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ula 2-1 Al Orubah | Division 1 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Al Ula 3-1 Al Orubah | Division 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Al Orubah 0-1 Al Ula | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ula score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al Orubah score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ula | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Al Orubah | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ula sit 2nd in Division 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Al Orubah sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ula | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Al Orubah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ula vs Al Orubah?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ula the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Al Orubah.
- Where and when is Al Ula vs Al Orubah played?
- Al Ula vs Al Orubah is played on October 26, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.