Al Jabalain vs Al Ula: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, Ha'il (Hail)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ula the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Al Jabalain. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Ula wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,239 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Jabalain vs Al Ula?
Al Ula starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Jabalain vs Al Ula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Jabalain
4-1-4-1- 90Luvannor
- 28Carlos Daniel
- 8Yannick Semedo
- 5Ibrahim Al Nakhli
- 6A. Al Harbi
- 11Al MutasimSediq
- 88Ibrahim Al Nakhli
- 87Ghassan
- 4Ahmad Al Mhemaid
- 20Nawaf Al Mutairi
- 30Mohammed Al Waked
Al Ula
4-3-3- 91S. Sow
- 96Michael
- 9Abdulfattah Adam
- 8Abdulmajeed Al Sulaiheem
- 29Mohammed Al-Majhad
- 14Fahad Jumayah
- 5Y. Barbet
- 24Ammar Al Dohaim
- 2Yasser Yaqoub Ibrahim
- 23Abdulrahman Al Obaid
- 13Abdulquddus Atiah
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 10:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Jabalain have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Al Ula have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Al Okhdood(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Bukayriyah(home) | 3-0 | Division 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al-Raed(home) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Jeddah Club(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Saqer(away) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hajer(away) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al Orubah(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Okhdood(away) | 5-1 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Al Jabalain wins, 2 draws, 1 Al Ula win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Ula 3-1 Al Jabalain | Division 1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Al Ula 0-0 Al Jabalain | Division 1 |
| Dec 25, 2025 | Al Jabalain 2-2 Al Ula | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Ula vs Al Jabalain on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Jabalain score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ula score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jabalain | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Ula | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Jabalain sit 2nd in Division 1 (24 points from 11 matches) and Al Ula sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ula | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
| 2 | Al Jabalain | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 24 |
A question about Al Jabalain vs Al Ula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Jabalain vs Al Ula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ula the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Al Jabalain.
- Where and when is Al Jabalain vs Al Ula played?
- Al Jabalain vs Al Ula is played on December 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.