Al Jabalain vs Al Ula: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, Ha'il (Hail)
The Footlab model makes Al Ula the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Al Jabalain. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Jabalain vs Al Ula?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Al Jabalain (1,733) and Al Ula (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Jabalain have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Al Ula have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 1-0 | King's Cup |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-3 | Division 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Jabalain(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Como Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-3 | Como Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 0-3 | Como Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Al Jabalain win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Al Ula win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Ula 3-1 Al Jabalain | Division 1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Al Ula 0-0 Al Jabalain | Division 1 |
| Dec 25, 2025 | Al Jabalain 2-2 Al Ula | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Ula vs Al Jabalain on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Jabalain score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ula score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jabalain | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Ula | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Jabalain sit 15th in Division 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Ula sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ula | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Al Jabalain | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Jabalain vs Al Ula?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ula the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Al Jabalain.
- Where and when is Al Jabalain vs Al Ula played?
- Al Jabalain vs Al Ula is played on December 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.