Al-Raed vs Al Orubah: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, Buraydah (Buraidah)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Raed the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Al Orubah. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Raed wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Raed vs Al Orubah?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Al-Raed (1,685) and Al Orubah (1,714).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Raed vs Al Orubah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Raed
4-3-3- 10Saad Al Salouli
- 20H. Al Shammari
- 7K. Narey
- 5Salomon Tweh
- 8Omar Shami
- 6Yousef Saad Al Harbi
- 13R. Mennioui
- 3M. Doshy
- 38M. Al Dawsari
- 2Tamim Al Shuqayran
- 1Raed Ozaybi
Al Orubah
5-4-1- 10R. Almeyda
- 80Fahad Muqbil Al Rashidi
- 6Abdulaziz Al Harabi
- 5Mohammed Krishan
- 18F. Al Rashid
- 11H. Al Maqati
- 66Ali Al Sultan
- 33Paulo Vitor
- 4Z. Al Hunaiti
- 16M. Al Zubaidi
- 26H. Al Juhani
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Raed have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Al Orubah have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Jabalain(away) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al Saqer(home) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Jeddah Club(home) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 0-4 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Bukayriyah(home) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Al Jabalain(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al Jeel(home) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Al-Raed wins, 1 draw, 1 Al Orubah win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Orubah 0-1 Al-Raed | Division 1 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Al-Raed 0-1 Al Orubah | Division 1 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Al Orubah 0-0 Al-Raed | Division 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Al Orubah 0-4 Al-Raed | Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Al-Raed 3-1 Al Orubah | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Raed score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Orubah score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Raed | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Orubah | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Raed sit 11th in Division 1 (10 points from 10 matches) and Al Orubah sit 13th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al-Raed | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 13 | Al Orubah | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Al-Raed vs Al Orubah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Raed vs Al Orubah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Raed the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Al Orubah.
- Where and when is Al-Raed vs Al Orubah played?
- Al-Raed vs Al Orubah is played on December 28, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.