Al-Jazira vs Arkadag: prediction and stats
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Jazira the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Arkadag. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Jazira vs Arkadag?
On Elo ratings, Al-Jazira has 1,928 points and Arkadag 1,923.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Jazira vs Arkadag
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Jazira
4-4-2- 10Malcom
- 99Vinicius Mello
- 94Talisca
- 30A. Dennis
- 8M. Coulibaly
- 80Bruno
- 4Willyan Rocha
- 28R. Tagir
- 15M. Rabii
- 39N. Mujkić
- 55Ali Khaseif
Arkadag
5-4-1- 7A. Annadurdyýew
- 9R. Myratberdiýew
- 27Y. Gurbanov
- 13V. Ballakov
- 10R. Khozhaev
- 12Y. Mammedov
- 20A. Sapargulyyev
- 5A. Bashimov
- 2G. Annagulyýew
- 4M. Saparow
- 1R. Ahallyyev
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Jazira have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Arkadag have 15, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Khorfakkan(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Al Wahda FC(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Gol Gohar(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Muharraq(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 5-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ahal(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Jazira score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arkadag score 4.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jazira | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Arkadag | 4.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Jazira sit 2nd in AFC Champions League Two (1 point from 1 match) and Arkadag sit 1st (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Al-Jazira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Al-Jazira vs Arkadag?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Jazira vs Arkadag?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Jazira the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Arkadag.
- Where and when is Al-Jazira vs Arkadag played?
- Al-Jazira vs Arkadag is played on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, in the AFC Champions League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.