Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Khwar Stadium, Al-Khor
The Footlab AI model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Al Kharaitiyat. The most likely score is 1-1. If UMM Salal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,116 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal?
On Elo ratings, Al Kharaitiyat has 1,615 points and UMM Salal 1,670.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Kharaitiyat
4-3-3- 11J. Gele
- 10A. Sheikh
- 95A. Al Saadi
- 7C. Boniface
- 21I. A. Ghaderi
- 17A. Gamal
- 12M. Al Qahtani
- 16A. Qasmi
- 14M. Gomez
- 78K. Najeh
- 13L. Ayoví
UMM Salal
4-2-3-1- 17J. Kouassi
- 14O. Tannane
- 10M. Baidoo
- 8Salem Al Hajri
- 6J. Aholou
- 32Ahmed El Sayed
- 22E. Udosen
- 2A. Fayez
- 19N. Laidouni
- 15A. Tahif
- 48I. R. Hamadeh
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 01:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Kharaitiyat have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; UMM Salal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Al Rayyan SC B(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Waab(away) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 5-2 | Second Division |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | UMM Salal(away) | 0-1 | QSL Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Al-Gharafa B(away) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 0-0 | Second Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Waab(away) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 2-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 1-0 | QSL Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Kharaitiyat wins, 0 draws, 3 UMM Salal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | UMM Salal 1-0 Al Kharaitiyat | QSL Cup |
| Apr 15, 2022 | UMM Salal 0-4 Al Kharaitiyat | QFA Cup |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Al Kharaitiyat 3-0 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Dec 9, 2020 | UMM Salal 1-0 Al Kharaitiyat | Stars League |
| Nov 3, 2020 | Al Kharaitiyat 1-2 UMM Salal | QSL Cup |
| Feb 22, 2019 | UMM Salal 0-1 Al Kharaitiyat | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: UMM Salal vs Al Kharaitiyat on Sep 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Kharaitiyat score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UMM Salal score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kharaitiyat | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| UMM Salal | 1.3 | 1.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Kharaitiyat sit 3rd in Second Division (12 points from 6 matches) and UMM Salal sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Kharaitiyat | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | UMM Salal | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal?
- The Footlab AI model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Al Kharaitiyat.
- Where and when is Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal played?
- Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Khwar Stadium, in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.