Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Khwar Stadium, Al-Khor
The Footlab model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Al Kharaitiyat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Al Kharaitiyat (1,605) and UMM Salal (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Kharaitiyat have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; UMM Salal have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 0-0 | Second Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Waab(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muaither SC(away) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Al-Khor(home) | 2-2 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Qatar U23(home) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 1-2 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-3 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Kharaitiyat win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 UMM Salal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2022 | UMM Salal 0-4 Al Kharaitiyat | QFA Cup |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Al Kharaitiyat 3-0 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Dec 9, 2020 | UMM Salal 1-0 Al Kharaitiyat | Stars League |
| Nov 3, 2020 | Al Kharaitiyat 1-2 UMM Salal | QSL Cup |
| Feb 22, 2019 | UMM Salal 0-1 Al Kharaitiyat | Stars League |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Al Kharaitiyat 1-2 UMM Salal | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: UMM Salal vs Al Kharaitiyat on Apr 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Al Kharaitiyat score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UMM Salal score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kharaitiyat | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| UMM Salal | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Kharaitiyat sit 7th in Second Division (1 points from 1 matches) and UMM Salal sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | UMM Salal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Al Kharaitiyat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal?
- The Footlab model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Al Kharaitiyat.
- Where and when is Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal played?
- Al Kharaitiyat vs UMM Salal is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Khwar Stadium, in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.