Match

Al-Markhiya vs Muaither SC: prediction and stats

Second DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), Al-Wakra

Al-MarkhiyaMuaither SC

The Footlab model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Muaither SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Al-Markhiya vs Muaither SC?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Al-Markhiya (1,661) and Muaither SC (1,632).

Al-Markhiya win44 %
Draw25 %
Muaither SC win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Markhiya have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Muaither SC have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Al-Markhiya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Al-Khor(away)3-0Second Division
Apr 30, 2026Al-Khor(away)3-0Second Division
Apr 25, 2026Lusail City(home)0-2Second Division
Apr 12, 2026Al Waab(away)1-1Second Division
Apr 5, 2026Muaither SC(home)3-4Second Division
Muaither SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Al Mesaimeer(away)0-1Second Division
Jul 28, 2026MC Oran(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Apr 30, 2026Al Mesaimeer(away)3-1Second Division
Apr 25, 2026Al Kharaitiyat(home)1-2Second Division
Apr 18, 2026Al Bidda SC(away)4-3Second Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Markhiya win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Muaither SC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Al-Markhiya 3-4 Muaither SCSecond Division
Mar 25, 2026Muaither SC 3-2 Al-MarkhiyaQSL Cup
Oct 22, 2025Muaither SC 1-2 Al-MarkhiyaSecond Division
Sep 1, 2025Al-Markhiya 0-0 Muaither SCQSL Cup
Apr 16, 2025Al-Markhiya 2-0 Muaither SCSecond Division
Dec 16, 2024Muaither SC 0-2 Al-MarkhiyaSecond Division

Last archived meeting: Al-Markhiya vs Muaither SC on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Al-Markhiya score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Muaither SC score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Al-Markhiya1.51.3410/1510/15
Muaither SC2.11.8111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Al-Markhiya sit 1st in Second Division (3 points from 1 matches) and Muaither SC sit 7th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Al-Markhiya1100303
7Muaither SC1001010

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Al-Markhiya vs Muaither SC?
The Footlab model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Muaither SC.
Where and when is Al-Markhiya vs Muaither SC played?
Al-Markhiya vs Muaither SC is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), in the Second Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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