Al Kholood vs Al Diriyah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 18, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium), Rass
The Footlab model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Al Kholood. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Kholood vs Al Diriyah?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Al Kholood (1,780) and Al Diriyah (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Kholood have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Al Diriyah have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jeddah Club(away) | 5-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Luton(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 1-4 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Kholood score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Diriyah score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kholood | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Diriyah | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Kholood sit 8th in Pro League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al Diriyah sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Kholood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Kholood vs Al Diriyah?
- The Footlab model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Al Kholood.
- Where and when is Al Kholood vs Al Diriyah played?
- Al Kholood vs Al Diriyah is played on February 18, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium), in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.