Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 18, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al Shabab the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Al Riyadh (1,720) and Al Shabab (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riyadh have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Al Shabab have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Okhdood(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 2-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Riyadh win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Al Shabab win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Al Shabab 3-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| May 15, 2025 | Al Riyadh 1-3 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Al Shabab 2-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Al Riyadh 0-2 Al Shabab | King's Cup |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Al Shabab 1-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riyadh score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Shabab | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riyadh sit 18th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al Shabab sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Al Shabab | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Al Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab model makes Al Shabab the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab played?
- Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab is played on February 18, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.