Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 18, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al Shabab the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Shabab wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Al Riyadh (1,736) and Al Shabab (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Riyadh
4-2-3-1- 11H. Al Ali
- 10T. Okou
- 22V. Lekhal
- 14Essam Bahri
- 6K. Keita
- 43B. Mensah
- 12Sulaiman Hazazi
- 26R. Abascal
- 2Sultan Alessa
- 67Mohammed Al Khaibari
- 82M. Borjan
Al Shabab
4-4-2- 9Roger Martínez
- 49Ricardo Mathias
- 29Y. Adli
- 10Y. Carrasco
- 8J. Brownhill
- 37A. Matuq
- 4T. Jedvaj
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
- 3M. Barry
- 55Ali Al Bulayhi
- 1M. Diaw
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riyadh have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al Shabab have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-5 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Riyadh wins, 2 draws, 4 Al Shabab wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Shabab 3-3 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Al Shabab 3-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| May 15, 2025 | Al Riyadh 1-3 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Al Shabab 2-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Al Riyadh 0-2 Al Shabab | King's Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riyadh score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 1.2 | 1.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Shabab | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riyadh sit 12th in Pro League (9 points from 8 matches) and Al Shabab sit 13th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Shabab the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab played?
- Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab is played on February 18, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.