Al-Markhiya vs Al Waab: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC)Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), Al-Wakra
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Al Waab. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Markhiya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Markhiya vs Al Waab?
Al-Markhiya starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,580).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Markhiya vs Al Waab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Markhiya
4-3-3- 9Lucão
- 22Rúben Lameiras
- 77H. Sanhaji
- 8S. Cola
- 7A. Aboutrika
- 11Rodrigo Tabata
- 23N. Sarr
- 3N. Rahman
- 16E. El Sadeq
- 6M. Abdullah
- 33R. Kwasigroch
Al Waab
4-3-3- 77Ousseynou Cesar Gueye
- 20Baha' Faisal
- 9A. Fowadah
- 8Diogo Abreu
- 24M. Seye
- 5Anas Elfadil Ahmed
- 26A. Bakayoko
- 74A. Ragab
- 55E. Endurance
- 15A. Issa
- 90F. Plaia
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Markhiya have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al Waab have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Qatar U23(away) | 2-2 | Second Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Rayyan SC B(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | UMM Salal(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 1-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Qatar U23(home) | 1-1 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Markhiya wins, 2 draws, 1 Al Waab win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Al Waab 1-1 Al-Markhiya | Second Division |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Al Waab 1-3 Al-Markhiya | QSL Cup |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Al-Markhiya 3-3 Al Waab | Second Division |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Al-Markhiya 0-2 Al Waab | Second Division |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Al Waab 2-4 Al-Markhiya | Second Division |
| Feb 22, 2022 | Al Waab 1-2 Al-Markhiya | Second Division |
Last archived meeting: Al Waab vs Al-Markhiya on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Markhiya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Waab score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Markhiya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Waab | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Markhiya sit 1st in Second Division (13 points from 5 matches) and Al Waab sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Markhiya | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Al Waab | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Al-Markhiya vs Al Waab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Markhiya vs Al Waab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Al Waab.
- Where and when is Al-Markhiya vs Al Waab played?
- Al-Markhiya vs Al Waab is played on November 5, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC) at Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.