Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Al-Gharafa B. The most likely score is 1-1. If UMM Salal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
UMM Salal starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (1,660 vs 1,435).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Gharafa B
Not enough data to predict the Al-Gharafa B lineup.
UMM Salal
4-2-3-1- 17J. Kouassi
- 14O. Tannane
- 10M. Baidoo
- 8Salem Al Hajri
- 6J. Aholou
- 32Ahmed El Sayed
- 22E. Udosen
- 2A. Fayez
- 19N. Laidouni
- 15A. Tahif
- 48I. R. Hamadeh
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Gharafa B have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; UMM Salal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 0-5 | Second Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 3, 2017 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-6 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Waab(away) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 2-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 1-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al-Khor(home) | 1-5 | Second Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 2-1 | Second Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Gharafa B score 1.9 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; UMM Salal score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa B | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| UMM Salal | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Gharafa B sit 11th in Second Division (1 point from 4 matches) and UMM Salal sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | UMM Salal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Al-Gharafa B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
A question about Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
- The Footlab AI model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Al-Gharafa B.
- Where and when is Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal played?
- Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal is played on November 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.