AL Masry vs Asyut Petrol: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Ismaïlia Stadium, Ismailia
The Footlab model makes AL Masry the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Asyut Petrol. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AL Masry vs Asyut Petrol?
AL Masry starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AL Masry have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Asyut Petrol have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Masr(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| May 25, 2026 | Masr(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Petrojet(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Tersana(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 AL Masry win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Asyut Petrol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2023 | AL Masry 3-1 Asyut Petrol | Cup |
Last archived meeting: AL Masry vs Asyut Petrol on May 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
AL Masry score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Asyut Petrol score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Masry | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Asyut Petrol | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AL Masry sit 4th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Asyut Petrol sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AL Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Asyut Petrol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AL Masry vs Asyut Petrol?
- The Footlab model makes AL Masry the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Asyut Petrol.
- Where and when is AL Masry vs Asyut Petrol played?
- AL Masry vs Asyut Petrol is played on November 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Ismaïlia Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.