El Gouna FC vs Zamalek SC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Khaled Bichara Stadium, El-Gouna
The Footlab model makes Zamalek SC the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for El Gouna FC. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs Zamalek SC?
Zamalek SC starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,980 vs 1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Gouna FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Zamalek SC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | USM Alger(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Smouha SC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 El Gouna FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Zamalek SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Zamalek SC 1-1 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Zamalek SC 1-1 El Gouna FC | League Cup |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Zamalek SC 4-1 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Zamalek SC 1-0 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Mar 12, 2024 | El Gouna FC 3-2 Zamalek SC | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2022 | El Gouna FC 1-4 Zamalek SC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zamalek SC vs El Gouna FC on Sep 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
El Gouna FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zamalek SC score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna FC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Zamalek SC | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Gouna FC sit 9th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Zamalek SC sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Zamalek SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Gouna FC vs Zamalek SC?
- The Footlab model makes Zamalek SC the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for El Gouna FC.
- Where and when is El Gouna FC vs Zamalek SC played?
- El Gouna FC vs Zamalek SC is played on November 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Khaled Bichara Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.