Al Merreikh vs Sunrise: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueMatchday 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Al-Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman
The Footlab AI model makes Al Merreikh the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Sunrise. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Merreikh vs Sunrise?
Al Merreikh starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,557).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Merreikh vs Sunrise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Merreikh
4-3-3- 29Ramadan Agab
- 32S. Patiño
- 28A. Balouchy
- 7Mohamed Al Rashed
- 8Wagdi Awad
- 30Anas Mohamed
- 13Ahmed Yousif Tabanja
- 2Adam Babajide
- 33Dia Wah Mickaël
- 25Elsamani Saadeldin
- 16O. Ojo
Sunrise
Not enough data to predict the Sunrise lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Merreikh have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sunrise have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(home) | 3-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sunrise(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Horoya(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gicumbi(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Al Merreikh wins, 1 draw, 0 Sunrise wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sunrise 1-1 Al Merreikh | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Sunrise vs Al Merreikh on Nov 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Merreikh score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sunrise score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Merreikh | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Sunrise | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Merreikh sit 17th in National Soccer League (6 points from 4 matches) and Sunrise sit 9th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sunrise | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Merreikh | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
A question about Al Merreikh vs Sunrise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Merreikh vs Sunrise?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Merreikh the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Sunrise.
- Where and when is Al Merreikh vs Sunrise played?
- Al Merreikh vs Sunrise is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Merreikh Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.