AL Nasr SC vs Tersana: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Al Nasr Club Stadium, El Nozha
The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for AL Nasr SC. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AL Nasr SC vs Tersana?
Tersana starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,677 vs 1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AL Nasr SC have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Tersana have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Pyramids FC(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Porto Suez(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group B |
| Jun 9, 2023 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-4 | Second League - Group B |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 AL Nasr SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tersana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2023 | Tersana 1-1 AL Nasr SC | Second League - Group B |
| Dec 30, 2022 | AL Nasr SC 1-0 Tersana | Second League - Group B |
| Feb 4, 2022 | Tersana 4-1 AL Nasr SC | Second League - Group B |
| Oct 8, 2021 | AL Nasr SC 0-1 Tersana | Second League - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Tersana vs AL Nasr SC on May 27, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
AL Nasr SC score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Nasr SC | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AL Nasr SC sit 9th in Second League (1 points from 1 matches) and Tersana sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | AL Nasr SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AL Nasr SC vs Tersana?
- The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for AL Nasr SC.
- Where and when is AL Nasr SC vs Tersana played?
- AL Nasr SC vs Tersana is played on November 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Al Nasr Club Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.