Haras El Hodood vs Pharco: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Haras El Hodoud Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Haras El Hodood the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Pharco. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haras El Hodood vs Pharco?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Haras El Hodood (1,692) and Pharco (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haras El Hodood have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Pharco have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Itesalat(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| May 29, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Petrojet(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Proxy(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 28, 2026 | Ismaily SC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Haras El Hodood win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Pharco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Pharco 2-1 Haras El Hodood | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Haras El Hodood 2-2 Pharco | Premier League |
| May 18, 2025 | Pharco 0-0 Haras El Hodood | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Haras El Hodood 2-0 Pharco | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Haras El Hodood 0-0 Pharco | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2022 | Pharco 1-0 Haras El Hodood | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Pharco vs Haras El Hodood on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Haras El Hodood score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pharco score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haras El Hodood | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Pharco | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Haras El Hodood sit 2nd in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Pharco sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pharco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haras El Hodood vs Pharco?
- The Footlab model makes Haras El Hodood the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Pharco.
- Where and when is Haras El Hodood vs Pharco played?
- Haras El Hodood vs Pharco is played on November 27, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.