Al-Nassr vs Al-Faisaly FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 22, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Awal Park at King Saud University, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Al-Faisaly FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al-Faisaly FC?
Al-Nassr is a heavy favourite: 2,134 Elo points against 1,770, a 363-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Nassr have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Faisaly FC have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Riyadh(away) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 4-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Baten(home) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Nassr win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Al-Faisaly FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | Al-Nassr 4-0 Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2021 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| May 5, 2021 | Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Al-Nassr 0-1 Al-Faisaly FC | King's Cup |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-3 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Al-Faisaly FC 3-2 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Nassr vs Al-Faisaly FC on Jan 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Nassr score 2.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Faisaly FC score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 2.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Faisaly FC | 2.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Nassr sit 1st in Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and Al-Faisaly FC sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 17 | Al-Faisaly FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Nassr vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Al-Faisaly FC.
- Where and when is Al-Nassr vs Al-Faisaly FC played?
- Al-Nassr vs Al-Faisaly FC is played on April 22, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Awal Park at King Saud University, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.