Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, Al Majma'ah
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Al-Faisaly FC. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr is a heavy favourite: 2,063 Elo points against 1,726, a 337-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Faisaly FC
4-1-4-1- 19Alexandre Mendy
- 77A. Al Shereaf
- 20Jaime Seoane
- 13C. Bassogog
- 6Eid Al Muwallad
- 8Flávio
- 4A. Seck
- 5Andrei Girotto
- 50Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti
- 2Yaseen Barnawi
- 1Fernando Pacheco
Al-Nassr
4-4-2- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 79João Félix
- 10S. Mané
- 11Samú Costa
- 20Ângelo
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 5Abdulelah Al Amri
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 6Saad Al Nasser
- 24Bento
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Faisaly FC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Nassr have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 0-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Abha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Faisaly FC wins, 0 draws, 3 Al-Nassr wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | Al-Nassr 4-0 Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2021 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| May 5, 2021 | Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Al-Nassr 0-1 Al-Faisaly FC | King's Cup |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-3 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Al-Faisaly FC 3-2 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Nassr vs Al-Faisaly FC on Jan 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Faisaly FC score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Faisaly FC | 1.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Faisaly FC sit 16th in Pro League (3 points from 7 matches) and Al-Nassr sit 3rd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 16 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Al-Faisaly FC.
- Where and when is Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr played?
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr is played on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.