Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, Al Majma'ah
The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Al-Faisaly FC. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr is a heavy favourite: 2,133 Elo points against 1,774 — a 359-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Faisaly FC have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Nassr have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Baten(home) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Riyadh(away) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 4-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Faisaly FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Al-Nassr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | Al-Nassr 4-0 Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2021 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| May 5, 2021 | Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Al-Nassr 0-1 Al-Faisaly FC | King's Cup |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-3 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Al-Faisaly FC 3-2 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Nassr vs Al-Faisaly FC on Jan 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Faisaly FC score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Faisaly FC | 2.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Faisaly FC sit 14th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al-Nassr sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Al-Faisaly FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Al-Faisaly FC.
- Where and when is Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr played?
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr is played on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.