Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Al Ghazieh: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 7Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Camille Chamoun Sports City Stadium, Bayrūt (Beirut)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Nejmeh the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Shabab Al Ghazieh. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?
Al Nejmeh is a heavy favourite: 1,696 Elo points against 1,170, a 526-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Al Ghazieh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Nejmeh
4-3-3- 49I. Gbadamosi
- 17R. Michael
- 11Mohamad Kassas
- 10Mohamad Haidar
- 20H. Kourani
- 19H. Jaafar
- 18Kassem Al Zein
- 5Khalil Khamis
- 6Hussein Al Zein
- 28Abdelaziz Kneni
- 95Mostafa Matar
Shabab Al Ghazieh
Not enough data to predict the Shabab Al Ghazieh lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Nejmeh have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Shabab Al Ghazieh have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 3-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wathba(away) | 1-2 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Shabab Al Sahel(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Reyady Abaseya(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Shabab Al Sahel(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Bourj(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Al Nejmeh wins, 0 draws, 0 Shabab Al Ghazieh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Al Nejmeh 3-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Shabab Al Ghazieh 0-4 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Al Nejmeh 2-1 Shabab Al Ghazieh | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Shabab Al Ghazieh 0-1 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Al Nejmeh 2-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Shabab Al Ghazieh 1-3 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Al Ghazieh on Sep 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Al Nejmeh score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shabab Al Ghazieh score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nejmeh | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Shabab Al Ghazieh | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Nejmeh sit 7th in Premier League (5 points from 3 matches) and Shabab Al Ghazieh sit 11th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Nejmeh | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Shabab Al Ghazieh | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Nejmeh the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Shabab Al Ghazieh.
- Where and when is Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Al Ghazieh played?
- Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Al Ghazieh is played on November 20, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at Camille Chamoun Sports City Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.