Safa vs Al Nejmeh: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Al Safa SC Stadium, Bayrūt (Beirut)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Nejmeh the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Safa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Nejmeh wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Safa vs Al Nejmeh?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Safa (1,547) and Al Nejmeh (1,625).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Safa vs Al Nejmeh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Safa
Not enough data to predict the Safa lineup.
Al Nejmeh
Not enough data to predict the Al Nejmeh lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Safa have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Al Nejmeh have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Reyady Abaseya(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tadamon Sour(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Al Ansar(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Ahed(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Safa wins, 2 draws, 1 Al Nejmeh win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Safa 1-0 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Al Nejmeh 1-0 Safa | Premier League |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Safa 3-3 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
| May 13, 2025 | Safa 2-1 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Al Nejmeh 1-1 Safa | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Al Nejmeh 0-2 Safa | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Safa score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Nejmeh score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safa | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Nejmeh | 2.0 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Safa sit 3rd in Premier League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al Nejmeh sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Safa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Al Nejmeh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
A question about Safa vs Al Nejmeh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Safa vs Al Nejmeh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Nejmeh the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Safa.
- Where and when is Safa vs Al Nejmeh played?
- Safa vs Al Nejmeh is played on November 24, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Al Safa SC Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.