Al Orubah vs Al Bukayriyah: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 03:20 PM (UTC)Al-Jouf University Stadium, Sakākā (Sakakah)
The Footlab model makes Al Orubah the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Al Bukayriyah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Orubah vs Al Bukayriyah?
Al Orubah starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,729 vs 1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Orubah have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Al Bukayriyah have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Raed(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Jeddah Club(away) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 2-3 | King's Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 2-3 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Al Baten(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Al Orubah win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al Bukayriyah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Al Orubah 3-0 Al Bukayriyah | Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Al Bukayriyah 1-0 Al Orubah | Division 1 |
| May 14, 2024 | Al Bukayriyah 0-0 Al Orubah | Division 1 |
| Dec 27, 2023 | Al Orubah 1-0 Al Bukayriyah | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Orubah vs Al Bukayriyah on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Orubah score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al Bukayriyah score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Orubah | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Bukayriyah | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Orubah sit 14th in Division 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Bukayriyah sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al Bukayriyah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Orubah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Orubah vs Al Bukayriyah?
- The Footlab model makes Al Orubah the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Al Bukayriyah.
- Where and when is Al Orubah vs Al Bukayriyah played?
- Al Orubah vs Al Bukayriyah is played on October 20, 2026 at 03:20 PM (UTC) at Al-Jouf University Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.