Al-Raed vs Al Saqer: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 04:50 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, Buraydah (Buraidah)
The Footlab model makes Al Saqer the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Al-Raed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Raed vs Al Saqer?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Al-Raed (1,735) and Al Saqer (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Raed have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Al Saqer have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-2 | King's Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 5-1 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-2 | Division 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Damac(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Al Jeel(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Mudhar Club(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Al Gottah(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al Safa(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Raed score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al Saqer score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Raed | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Saqer | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Raed sit 6th in Division 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Al Saqer sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Raed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Saqer | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Raed vs Al Saqer?
- The Footlab model makes Al Saqer the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Al-Raed.
- Where and when is Al-Raed vs Al Saqer played?
- Al-Raed vs Al Saqer is played on October 19, 2026 at 04:50 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.