Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Mohammed Al-Hammad Stadium, Madīnat al-Kuwayt (Kuwait City)
The Footlab model makes Al Qadsia the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Al Arabi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Al Qadsia (1,727) and Al Arabi (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Qadsia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Al Arabi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Kuwait(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 1-4 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Salmiyah(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Qadsia win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Al Arabi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Arabi 2-0 Al Qadsia | Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Al Arabi 0-0 Al Qadsia | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Al Arabi 3-4 Al Qadsia | Super Cup |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Al Arabi 2-0 Al Qadsia | Crown Prince Cup |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Al Qadsia 1-2 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| May 2, 2025 | Al Arabi 1-0 Al Qadsia | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Arabi vs Al Qadsia on Jun 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Qadsia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Arabi score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Qadsia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Arabi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Qadsia sit 3rd in Premier League (35 points from 20 matches) and Al Arabi sit 2nd (36 points from 20 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Arabi | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Al Qadsia | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
- The Footlab model makes Al Qadsia the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Al Arabi.
- Where and when is Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi played?
- Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Mohammed Al-Hammad Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.