Al Tadhamon vs Al Arabi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Al-Farwaniya Stadium (Al-Tadhamon Stadium), Ardiyah
The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Al Tadhamon. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Tadhamon vs Al Arabi?
Al Arabi is a heavy favourite: 1,769 Elo points against 1,424 — a 345-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Tadhamon have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Al Arabi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Nasar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Jahra(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 1-4 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Salmiyah(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Qadsia(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Tadhamon win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Al Arabi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Al Arabi 1-1 Al Tadhamon | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Al Tadhamon 1-2 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Al Tadhamon 0-4 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Al Arabi 1-0 Al Tadhamon | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Al Tadhamon 2-3 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Al Tadhamon 0-4 Al Arabi | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Arabi vs Al Tadhamon on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Tadhamon score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Arabi score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Tadhamon | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Arabi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Tadhamon sit 7th in Premier League (21 points from 19 matches) and Al Arabi sit 2nd (36 points from 20 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Arabi | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 36 |
| 7 | Al Tadhamon | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Tadhamon vs Al Arabi?
- The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Al Tadhamon.
- Where and when is Al Tadhamon vs Al Arabi played?
- Al Tadhamon vs Al Arabi is played on November 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Al-Farwaniya Stadium (Al-Tadhamon Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.