Al-Raed vs Al Bukayriyah: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 7, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, Buraydah (Buraidah)
The Footlab model makes Al-Raed the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Al Bukayriyah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Raed vs Al Bukayriyah?
Al-Raed starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Raed have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Al Bukayriyah have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-2 | King's Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 5-1 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-2 | Division 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 2-3 | King's Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 2-3 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Al Baten(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Al-Raed win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Al Bukayriyah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Al-Raed 1-1 Al Bukayriyah | Division 1 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Al Bukayriyah 0-1 Al-Raed | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al-Raed vs Al Bukayriyah on Feb 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Raed score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al Bukayriyah score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Raed | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Bukayriyah | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Raed sit 6th in Division 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Al Bukayriyah sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Raed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Bukayriyah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Raed vs Al Bukayriyah?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Raed the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Al Bukayriyah.
- Where and when is Al-Raed vs Al Bukayriyah played?
- Al-Raed vs Al Bukayriyah is played on December 7, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.