Al Najma vs Al-Adalah: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 7, 2026 at 02:50 PM (UTC)Al-Najma Club Stadium, Unaizah
The Footlab model makes Al Najma the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al-Adalah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al-Adalah?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Al Najma (1,646) and Al-Adalah (1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Najma have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Al-Adalah have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Jandal(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| May 14, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| May 9, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 2-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-2 | King's Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Jubail(home) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Abha(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Al Najma win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Al-Adalah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | Al Najma 2-2 Al-Adalah | Division 1 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Al-Adalah 3-1 Al Najma | Division 1 |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Al-Adalah 2-2 Al Najma | Division 1 |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Al Najma 1-3 Al-Adalah | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Najma vs Al-Adalah on Mar 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Al Najma score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Adalah score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najma | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Al-Adalah | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Najma sit 5th in Division 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Al-Adalah sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Najma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Adalah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Najma vs Al-Adalah?
- The Footlab model makes Al Najma the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al-Adalah.
- Where and when is Al Najma vs Al-Adalah played?
- Al Najma vs Al-Adalah is played on December 7, 2026 at 02:50 PM (UTC) at Al-Najma Club Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.