Al Riffa vs Al Nasr: prediction and stats
AGCFF Gulf Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC)Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), Riffa
The Footlab AI model makes Al Nasr the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Al Riffa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Nasr wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riffa vs Al Nasr?
Al Nasr starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,939 vs 1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Riffa vs Al Nasr
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Riffa
4-3-3- 70D. Georgijević
- 77T. Meziani
- 11Ali Hasan Isa
- 5Abbas Al Asfoor
- 10Vargas
- 13Jassim Al Shaikh
- 71Cleitinho
- 30Samuel Toscas
- 94K. Al Aswad
- 2Ramadan Al Asam Bader Husain
- 29D. Bartkus
Al Nasr
4-4-2- 13R. Mierez
- 70A. Hrustić
- 28A. Toure
- 7K. Agudelo
- 8M. Marin
- 5Mohammad Abdulbasit
- 4Gláuber
- 24Zayed Sultan
- 26M. Høibråten
- 14Felipe Motta
- 53Mohamed Adli
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riffa have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Al Nasr have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Najma(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 4-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Sitra(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | East Riffa(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 4-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 1-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Baniyas SC(home) | 0-1 | Presidents Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hatta SC(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Riffa(home) | 3-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Al Riffa wins, 0 draws, 1 Al Nasr win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Nasr 3-0 Al Riffa | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riffa score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Nasr score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riffa | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Nasr | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Al Riffa vs Al Nasr?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riffa vs Al Nasr?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Nasr the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Al Riffa.
- Where and when is Al Riffa vs Al Nasr played?
- Al Riffa vs Al Nasr is played on December 9, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC) at Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), in the AGCFF Gulf Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.