Erbil vs Ajman: prediction and stats
AGCFF Gulf Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Ajman. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erbil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erbil vs Ajman?
On Elo ratings, Erbil has 1,676 points and Ajman 1,857.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Erbil vs Ajman
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Erbil
Not enough data to predict the Erbil lineup.
Ajman
4-4-2- 9W. Azaro
- 33Lithierry
- 18I. Moumen
- 48Saad El Hadani
- 99Victor Henrique
- 7Lourency
- 44Yuri Matias
- 22Vitor Vargas
- 2Abdelrahman Rakan
- 12N. A. Mohammed M.
- 40Abdullah Al Tamimi
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ajman have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ajman(away) | 4-5 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 5-4 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Baniyas SC(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sharjah FC(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Ittihad Kalba(home) | 2-3 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Erbil wins, 0 draws, 1 Ajman win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ajman 5-4 Erbil | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ajman score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ajman | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Erbil vs Ajman?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erbil vs Ajman?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Ajman.
- Where and when is Erbil vs Ajman played?
- Erbil vs Ajman is played on December 8, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Franso Hariri Stadium, in the AGCFF Gulf Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.