Al Riyadh vs Al-Ittihad FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 3, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Al-Ittihad FC starts as the favourite with a 294-point Elo edge (2,013 vs 1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riyadh have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Ittihad FC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Riyadh win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Al-Ittihad FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al Riyadh 3-1 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 2-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 2-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Al Riyadh 0-1 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Al-Ittihad FC 2-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Aug 24, 2023 | Al Riyadh 0-4 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Riyadh vs Al-Ittihad FC on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riyadh score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ittihad FC score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riyadh sit 16th in Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and Al-Ittihad FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riyadh vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al Riyadh vs Al-Ittihad FC played?
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Ittihad FC is played on December 3, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.