Al Shabab vs NEOM: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 3, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEOM wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shabab vs NEOM?
NEOM starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,887 vs 1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Shabab vs NEOM
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Shabab
4-4-2- 9Roger Martínez
- 49Ricardo Mathias
- 29Y. Adli
- 10Y. Carrasco
- 8J. Brownhill
- 37A. Matuq
- 4T. Jedvaj
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
- 3M. Barry
- 55Ali Al Bulayhi
- 1M. Diaw
NEOM
4-4-2- 91A. Lacazette
- 70Haroune Camara
- 72A. Koné
- 77Muhannad Al Saad
- 7G. Masouras
- 14Khalil Al Absi
- 5M. Sarr
- 44N. Zézé
- 15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
- 27Islam Hawsawi
- 1M. Bułka
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shabab have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; NEOM have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut(home) | 4-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Al Shabab win, 0 draws, 1 NEOM win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | NEOM 2-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Al Shabab 3-2 NEOM | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shabab score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; NEOM score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| NEOM | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shabab sit 12th in Pro League (7 points from 8 matches) and NEOM sit 5th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Al Shabab vs NEOM?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shabab vs NEOM?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Shabab vs NEOM played?
- Al Shabab vs NEOM is played on December 3, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.