Al Saqer vs Al Jabalain: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Al Saqer the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Al Jabalain. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Saqer vs Al Jabalain?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Al Saqer (1,761) and Al Jabalain (1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Saqer have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Al Jabalain have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Damac(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Al Jeel(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Mudhar Club(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Al Gottah(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al Safa(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 1-0 | King's Cup |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-3 | Division 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Saqer score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al Jabalain score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Saqer | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Al Jabalain | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Saqer sit 11th in Division 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Al Jabalain sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Saqer | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Al Jabalain | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Saqer vs Al Jabalain?
- The Footlab model makes Al Saqer the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Al Jabalain.
- Where and when is Al Saqer vs Al Jabalain played?
- Al Saqer vs Al Jabalain is played on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.