Al-Shabab vs NEOM: prediction and stats
AGCFF Gulf Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Al-Seeb Stadium, Seeb
The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Al-Shabab. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Shabab vs NEOM?
NEOM is a heavy favourite: 1,887 Elo points against 1,574, a 313-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Shabab vs NEOM
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Shabab
4-3-3- 17H. Al Rushadi
- 20Ahmed Al Riyami
- 35Y. Al Shabibi
- 6Yaseen Al Sheyadi
- 10K. Markneh
- 14Y. Saindou
- 3Mahmood Mabrook
- 19Y. Al Malki
- 2Yaqdhan Al Mushaifri
- 21H. Lwaliwa
- 26Ibrahim Al Mukhaini
NEOM
4-4-2- 91A. Lacazette
- 70Haroune Camara
- 72A. Koné
- 77Muhannad Al Saad
- 7G. Masouras
- 14Khalil Al Absi
- 5M. Sarr
- 44N. Zézé
- 15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
- 27Islam Hawsawi
- 1M. Bułka
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Shabab have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; NEOM have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-3 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Saham(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al Musannah(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 2-0 | Professional League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al-Nahda(home) | 2-3 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut(home) | 4-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Shabab score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; NEOM score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Shabab | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| NEOM | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Al-Shabab vs NEOM?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Shabab vs NEOM?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Al-Shabab.
- Where and when is Al-Shabab vs NEOM played?
- Al-Shabab vs NEOM is played on October 27, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC) at Al-Seeb Stadium, in the AGCFF Gulf Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.