Erbil vs Al-Ettifaq: prediction and stats
AGCFF Gulf Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Al-Ettifaq. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erbil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,958 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erbil vs Al-Ettifaq?
On Elo ratings, Erbil has 1,659 points and Al-Ettifaq 1,820.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Erbil vs Al-Ettifaq
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Erbil
Not enough data to predict the Erbil lineup.
Al-Ettifaq
5-3-2- 71M. Gluščević
- 9M. Dembélé
- 42A. Kanté
- 11O. Duda
- 43B. Celina
- 61Radhi Al Otaibi
- 4J. Hendry
- 5Pedro Henrique
- 70Abdullah Khateeb
- 33Madallah Al Olayan
- 1M. Rodák
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Ettifaq have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ajman(away) | 4-5 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 1-4 | Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 2-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 3-3 | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ettifaq score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al-Ettifaq | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Erbil vs Al-Ettifaq?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erbil vs Al-Ettifaq?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Al-Ettifaq.
- Where and when is Erbil vs Al-Ettifaq played?
- Erbil vs Al-Ettifaq is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Franso Hariri Stadium, in the AGCFF Gulf Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.