Al Shamal II vs Al-Markhiya: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Al Shamal II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shamal II vs Al-Markhiya?
Al-Markhiya starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,644 vs 1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shamal II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Al-Markhiya have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2015 | Al Sailiya B(home) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 13, 2015 | Umm Salal B(away) | 0-0 | Second Division |
| Mar 31, 2015 | Al Arabi SC B(home) | 0-0 | Second Division |
| Mar 27, 2015 | Al Khor B(away) | 2-2 | Second Division |
| Mar 22, 2015 | Al-Ahli Doha B(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 0-2 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Al Waab(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 3-4 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Al Shamal II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Al-Markhiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | Al-Markhiya 2-1 Al Shamal II | Second Division |
Last archived meeting: Al-Markhiya vs Al Shamal II on Dec 21, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shamal II score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Markhiya score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shamal II | 0.8 | 2.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Markhiya | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Markhiya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shamal II vs Al-Markhiya?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Al Shamal II.
- Where and when is Al Shamal II vs Al-Markhiya played?
- Al Shamal II vs Al-Markhiya is played on October 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.